Which boxer to bet on? You probably have a fair idea already, but please do look at our points below. It will give you a few extra things to take into consideration so you can make an informed bet.
Which Boxer to Bet on?
Age and Experience
It is crucial that a boxer meets the right opponent at the right time. We have seen promising talents matched against top level fighters a little too early in their careers, which can result in them being found wanting. Experience is such a big factor, and that is not just the number of fights a boxer has had, but also the quality of their opposition. Sometimes the media can get carried away in claiming someone is the next big thing and sometimes we buy into all the hype – but take a step back and really look at that boxer’s record. Who has he fought? Is he really ready to face a top level opponent just yet?
Conversely, a boxer can have too much experience at times. Sometimes a legend isn’t the fighter he used to be – he may just be getting too old to work the magic of his younger years, or perhaps numerous ring wars have taken their toll. Again, for an older boxer look at his record – has he had a long and punishing career? Is he well past his prime? Boxing is littered with former champs who just can’t let go. Don’t be caught out by betting on someone because of some distant achievement from back in the day – in boxing you cannot rest on your laurels.
How have the two boxers been performing recently. Is Boxer A on a good run with high levels of confidence, or has he had a string of devastating defeats which may suggest he is on the slide? Please take into consideration who the boxers have actually been fighting. If a boxer is coming off the back of a defeat, but it was to the Pound-for-Pound number one boxer, then perhaps we can overlook that. However, a sting of victories can be misleading if they have all been against journeymen. So it is worthwhile looking at exactly who they have fought recently and how those bouts went.
When two boxers are paired with each other, it is tempting to look at their performances against common opponents to try and gauge how they will do against each other – but this can often be misleading. Look at Muhammad Ali for example – he lost to Ken Norton and only won the rematch by split decision. However, George Foreman pummelled Norton to a standstill in less than two rounds. On that form you might think Foreman would beat Ali, but look at how that turned out!
Instead, it is much better to look at the style of the opponents your boxer has faced. If he is facing a tricky counter-puncher in his next fight, then how did he fare against count-punchers in the past? Likewise, if he has always struggled against southpaws or tall, rangey opponents then the chances are he will do so again in the next bout.
We have all heard the old saying ‘styles makes fights’, but it’s true! Some boxers are just not suited to fighting against particular styles. Manny Paquiao, a legendary boxer, could never quite come to terms with Juan Manuel Marquez’s style – it just wasn’t right for him. So be careful, although your boxer may be world class, that doesn’t automatically mean he is suited to facing any type of opponent.
Having home crowd support can definitely boost a boxer’s motivation and efforts, but in boxing it goes much beyond that. It is commonly believed that at times the judges may favour the home boxer in a very close contest – part of that may be down to the home crowd’s cheering inadvertently swaying how they analyse the fight, but some believe the judges may feel some sense of ‘loyalty’ to the promoter putting on the show. Either way, close fights will always divide opinion – sometimes people just see things differently.
In the USA it is often said that in a close fight the judges will favour the aggressor, as he is the one ‘making the fight’. And many of us have heard the old joke: If your boxer is fighting an Italian in Italy, then he must knock his opponent out just to get a draw!
Thankfully there is no actual evidence to support these notions. Boxing is a well run and very professional sport. The sport has many, many examples of the ‘away’ boxer beating the ‘home’ boxer in his own city.
Who will be officiating the contest? Some referees may be overly ‘strict’ or will frequently break the boxers if they are trying to fight on the inside, which may actually be part of a boxers style or strategy. Ricky Hatton, for example, often mentions how he felt referee Joe Cortez wouldn’t let him fight on the inside against Floyd Mayweather. Don’t forget either that referee Mitch Halpern let Evander Holyfield repeatedly headbutt Mike Tyson without any punishment.
What type of person is the referee? What does he allow and what will he not tolerate? It is another factor to consider when making an overall assessment of the fight and which boxer to bet on.
Now that you have looked at Which Boxer to Bet on, please take a look at our other boxing betting guide: The Different types of boxing bets